Zinegata wrote:What is the limit to catastrophic? Which actions weren't intentional? the weather? Stalin sure was intentional about 'reorganising' the agricultural sector.
The limit to catastrophic is something you can/can't recover in a fucking year. WWI was a catastrophe because however shitty the Russian Empire was, it took a long time to reach pre-war levels of production. The 1932-1933 hunger wasn't.
The agricultural sector needed some reorganizing. Hungers happened once in 10 years in the first half XIX and once in 6-7 years in the second half. Read Leo Tolstoy, he did some hunger relief work and had no reason to sympathize with Bolsheviks.
Stalin published his plan in 1930 ("Dizziness from success") and it
wasn't followed. The plan, without shitting on the official party policy outright, argued for step-by-step collectivization where the current optimal stage included transferring tool ownership to communal farms but allowed people to keep houses, kitchen gardens, a number of milk-producing cattle, small animals, fowl etc. This plan wasn't followed and communes (where everything is collective property) were forced on unprepared peasants who naturally resisted.
"Who needs this idiotic rushing ahead? Irritating the communal farmer with 'collectivizing' housing, all dairy cattle, all small animals, fowl, while the grain problem is not yet solved, while the co-op type of communal farms is not yet established - isn't it clear that such a policy could only be profitable to our enemies?"
Zinegata wrote:So you're asserting that gulags didn't exist, the state was not bureaucratic and there were no pogroms?
Not exactly.
You look at the source.
If it mentions people being sent to gulags, it is crap. Historians who write about the Gulag
without knowing what it was cannot be trusted to write anything more factually accurate than a 40k manual.
If it mentions NKVD shooting people without asking first and disposing of corpses in a way that prevents proper accounting, it is crap.
Pogroms? Like, rioting in the streets and destroying communal or state property? Fuck no. Pogroms were common in the Russian empire (which was a huge pile of shit by XX) where anti-semitism was indeed a state policy. By contrast, a lot of party officials, functionaries and intellectual workers were themselves Jewish. The USSR inherited popular prejudices but not the empire's racist policies. Now, upward movement in the hierarchy was difficult with promotions based on personal preference, so if you were a Jew and your boss was a fuckhead you were out of luck. Wikipedia, though, has some shit about kicking Jews out of
science, which is a lie as everyone who's ever studied in a Russian U can attest: a lot of Soviet scientists were Jews. A lot of University textbooks (that are still in use) were authored by Jews.
Zinegata wrote:There wasn't contradicting data; everyone - including the soviet intelligence agency (I'll have to get out a text book to look up its name during that period) knew that Barbarossa was on. Most countries had estimates on how long the soviets were going to hold out.
The Soviets found out Hitler signed the order to prepare for war with the USSR, "to be started in March 1941 once Britain gets conquered". Other dates mentioned in reports were April 1 and 15, May 1, a planned invasion via Finland on May 14, May 20, June 2 and 15.
The British caught wind of forces amassing on the Soviet border on June 9, and even then they weren't sure whether it was for real, because Hitler himself (not to mention Bismarck) wrote that war on two fronts was a shitty idea.
In reality, preparations for war were to be ended on May 15 according to the original plan, and the order to actually
start a war was issued on June 10 (and everything could still be called off until June 18, and the armed forces wouldn't know the final decision until 1 pm on June 21). Before June 10, the precise date and direction did not exist.
Stalin wrote:Comrade Merkulov: You can tell your 'source' from German aviation HQ to fuck himself. It's not a source, it's a disinformant.
See that line about British intelligence I bolded? No, they weren't incompetent. The Nazis were amassing forces in preparation for the invasion (from 30 to 81 divisions), Soviet spies reported a fixed number of 120 and the total amount planned for war upwards of 200. So everyone knew the Nazis put some forces on the border, but the tremendous growth in the last three months wasn't noticed until two weeks before the war and even then, it wasn't "enough".
Zinegata wrote:Note that Zhukov was actually in Siberia, fighting the Japanese at the time, these were the preinvasion orders.
The Soviet-Japanese war ended in 1939.
Zhukov attended the war meeting at Stalin's study on June 21, along with a number of other people. And yes, it was him who developed the plan after having won war games with a blitzkrieg strategy playing for Nazi Germany in 1940.
Zinegata wrote:Garbage. The first thing Stalin did was go incommunicado for a week. WTF??
No orders, no announcements, nothing.
Source: Khrushchev, "Time. People. Power." Bullshit.
First, we have the contemporaries' diaries. You know, stuff they wrote for themselves. here's what Dimitrov wrote: "Molotov, Voroshilov, Kaganovich, Malenkov are at Stalin's study. Stalin and the others are surprisingly calm and assured. Editing the official announcement that Molotov has to make on the radio. Issuing orders for the army and the navy. Mobilization and war footing. Underground HQ prepared."
Second, we have visitors' entrance-exit logs. June 21, the inner circle and high command stayed until 11 pm. June 22, first visitors arrived at 5:45 am, people come and go until 16:45. June 23, there's a conference from 3 to 6 am and another one later in the day, etc.
Basically, Khrushchev was a fuckhead.
Zinegata wrote:So he thought that signing a military alliance, supplying them war materials and expertise and allowing them to develop their war machine in Soviet factories would be the way to go?
The USSR had strong ties to
Weimar Germany. The USSR supplied raw resources and Weimar Germany exported tools and built factories in the USSR until 1926. From 1926 onwards, Soviets and Germans exchange military expertise instead. In 1933, all military collaboration ceases and trade reduces.
Code: Select all
year - import - total, million Reichsmarks; also, I'm too lazy to make a proper table
1931 762,7 1065,8
1932 625,8 896,7
1933 282,2 476,3
1934 63,3 286,3
1935 49,3 241,0
1936 126,1 219,3
1937 117,4 182,5
From 1933 onwards, the Soviets were buying (and stealing) German technology. In 1935, the Nazis lent the USSR 200M RM to spend on ordering high-tech devices for research and industry; the USSR was supposed to pay back in trade goods from 1940 to 1943 (they never started).
In Feb 1941, when preparations for Barbarossa were underway, Hitler ordered to dedicate military production to supplying the wehrmacht and the USSR in order not to lend any hints.
So who else exported resources and goods to Germany?
Britain: copper, wool, nickel, aircraft motors, marine artillery ammo
Canada: nickel
Sweden: iron
US: oil (Standard Oil doing their thing during WW2 through Spain), aircraft motors
Among German foreign investors were Standard Oil, GM, ITT, Ford, Vickers, Babcock and Wilcox, Danlop Rubber. Secret Krupp factories were located in Spain and the Netherlands.
German import, thousand ton
Code: Select all
1933 1934 1935
Resource Total USSR Total USSR Total USSR
Iron 4527 24.5 8264 1.9 14061 2.7
Oil 2428 505.5 3094 458.6 3766 491.9
Cotton 220 — 260 5.9 329 3.4
Zinegata wrote:By killing off the best of his senior army staff, including Mikhail Tukhachevksiy, who was the originator of the "Deep Battle" method of combined arms.
In 1937, the Soviet army had 206 thousand officers. By June 15 that number increased to 439 143 (exactly). The percentage of officers with higher education increased. From 1937 to 1939, 36898 officers were fired from the army, around 30000 complaints were filed and a number of them were restored in office. 25720 got fired permanently and among those, only 8122 were actually arrested and either 'camped, jailed or shot.
As for Tukhachevsky himself - well, he planned a military coup. Info about the coup first leaked associated with the names of Peterson (the commandant of Kremlin) and Yenukidze (the secretary of Central Executive Committee) in 1935. Stalin kept waiting. In Jan 1937, Artuzov, second-in-command in Red Army Intel, got fired for being a failure (not arrested, just told to gtfo) and decided to ingratiate himself by supplying data on Peterson and Yenukidze. Peterson pointed out Tukhachevsky and data started piling up. In May, Tukhachevsky was arrested and wrote a 143 page confession in solid handwriting, with chapters, subheadings and notes. Khrushchev made a little speech condemning the traitors. In June, Tukhachevsky and company were found guilty and got shot with all expedience, since three regiments in Kiyev started rioting demanding that Yakir (one of the arrested) be returned and the ones who unjustly arrested him were brought to justice.
Wikipedia, unsurprisingly, doesn't mention that particular coup at all, instead claiming that Tukhachevsky was framed by Nazis, probably in order to weaken the Soviet army. General Kostring reported to Hitler that the arrests had no consequences for the Soviet army and its ability to fight.
In 1961, a legal team was formed to investigate the case of Tukhachevsky and in 1964 they reported their findings, which is remarkable because Tukhachevsky was cleared of all charges seven years earlier without any prior "unbiased" investigation at Khrushchev's whim.
Also remarkable are the Wikipedia references, especially this:
[url=http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tukhachevsky#cite_ref-19 wrote:Wikipedia, You call that a source? What the fuck?[/url]]"20. There were scores of Red Army commanders with military records more impressive than Stalin's during the Russian Civil War. Some of them had been present when Stalin forbade his fellow army commander to assist in a drive on Poland, leading to a series of defeats and withdrawal from that country. Later, virtually every one of them was shot."
and four references to Alexander Barmine's book, which has this:
Wikipedia wrote:According to Alexander Barmine's book One Who Survived Tukhachevsky's twelve-year-old daughter learned of his death at school one day, when her classmates began to taunt her as the child of a "fascist traitor". Deeply traumatized, she went home and hanged herself. Tukhachevsky's widow was arrested by the NKVD the day after the girl's suicide; she later went insane and was last seen on the eve of her deportation to the Ural District, wearing a strait-jacket.
Actually Svetlana Tukhachevskaya, the Marshal's only daughter, did not hang herself but was sent to a special orphanage for the children of the people's enemies. She was arrested in 1944 and sentenced by an extrajudicial body Special Council of the NKVD to five years in the Gulag. She died in 1982.
Can anyone rely on the factual accuracy of the other three references to that book?
Zinegata wrote:As somebody who played a fairly realistic and historical simulation of Barbarossa from the Soviet side...
To hold the border against invasion, you need to have roads going parallel to the border to move forces where necessary. The Soviets didn't have any, nor did they have enough vehicles to transport infantry.