2008 last minute poll results

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Josh_Kablack
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2008 last minute poll results

Post by Josh_Kablack »

These could end up being very relevant:

Here's one for my state
PGH PG article in linky wrote:
One day before the election, Democrat Barack Obama holds a 10-point lead over Republican John McCain in the presidential race among likely voters in Pennsylvania, according to the latest Quinnipiac University poll released this morning.
Clay Richards' reports

• Hear Clay Richards discuss the latest Quinnipiac University poll of voters across Pennsylvania. His previous audio reports also are available.

Read the latest Quinnipiac University poll news release: Obama holds lead in Pa. and Ohio, but Florida too close to call.

"The race has narrowed somewhat," said Clay F. Richards, assistant director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute. "Obama led by 15 points two weeks ago," but the difference "is not enough to change to outcome."

Mr. Obama leads, 52-42 percent, in Pennsylvania. He also holds a lead in Ohio, 50-43 percent, and in Florida, 47-45 percent, but the race in the Sunshine State is too close to call. Quinnipiac University polls are conducted simultaneously in Florida, Ohio and Pennsylvania, three so-called swing states. No candidate since 1960 has been elected president without carrying two of the three states.

In Pennsylvania, Mr. Obama holds a 49-42 lead among Catholic voters, but the vote with Mr. McCain is split among white voters, 47-47.

Mr. Obama holds a 53-44 percent edge in Allegheny County. He also commands a 50-42 edge in the critical, populous suburbs of Philadelphia.
First published on November 3, 2008 at 8:13 am
I'm fairly certain that Obama's lock on Pgh proper, Philly, most of the Philly suburbs and over half of the tax-cheatin' rednecks just outside my city limits will be enough to offset the NRA zombies in the rest of the state and deliver PA for Obama. However, my feeling on the ground is that 10 points is irrational exuberance given the number of illiterate alzheimer's cases who keep saying they woulda voted for Hillary.

Post those from your state, and your thoughts on them, and we'll look at how they stack up to actual returns.
Last edited by Josh_Kablack on Tue Nov 04, 2008 5:52 am, edited 1 time in total.
"But transportation issues are social-justice issues. The toll of bad transit policies and worse infrastructure—trains and buses that don’t run well and badly serve low-income neighborhoods, vehicular traffic that pollutes the environment and endangers the lives of cyclists and pedestrians—is borne disproportionately by black and brown communities."
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Maxus
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Post by Maxus »

http://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls ... a-557.html

Doesn't look like Obama will win my state, if the polls are anything to go by.

Still voting for him, though.
He jumps like a damned dragoon, and charges into battle fighting rather insane monsters with little more than his bare hands and rather nasty spell effects conjured up solely through knowledge and the local plantlife. He unerringly knows where his goal lies, he breathes underwater and is untroubled by space travel, seems to have no limits to his actual endurance and favors killing his enemies by driving both boots square into their skull. His agility is unmatched, and his strength legendary, able to fling about a turtle shell big enough to contain a man with enough force to barrel down a near endless path of unfortunates.

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Zak S, Zak Smith, Dndwithpornstars, Zak Sabbath. He is a terrible person and a hack at writing and art. His cultural contributions are less than Justin Bieber's, and he's a shitmuffin. Go go gadget Googlebomb!
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ckafrica
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Post by ckafrica »

The crazy thing is if you go to the national polls at your website and scroll down to the long term history, it shows that Obama has been winning since forever
The internet gave a voice to the world thus gave definitive proof that the world is mostly full of idiots.
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Josh_Kablack
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Post by Josh_Kablack »

Here's the RCP set for PA
Poll Date Sample MoE Obama (D) McCain (R) Spread
RCP Average 10/27 - 11/02 -- -- 51.3 43.7 Obama +7.6
Rasmussen 11/01 - 11/01 700 LV 4.0 52 46 Obama +6
Reuters/Zogby 10/30 - 11/02 602 LV 4.1 54 40 Obama +14
Morning Call 10/29 - 11/02 617 LV 4.0 52 46 Obama +6
SurveyUSA 10/29 - 10/31 700 LV 3.8 51 44 Obama +7
ARG 10/29 - 10/31 600 LV 4.0 51 45 Obama +6
Quinnipiac 10/27 - 11/02 1493 LV 2.5 52 42 Obama +10
NBC/Mason-Dixon 10/27 - 10/28 625 LV 4.0 47 43 Obama +4
I'm thinking most of the MoE will swing to McCain on those.
"But transportation issues are social-justice issues. The toll of bad transit policies and worse infrastructure—trains and buses that don’t run well and badly serve low-income neighborhoods, vehicular traffic that pollutes the environment and endangers the lives of cyclists and pedestrians—is borne disproportionately by black and brown communities."
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JonSetanta
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Post by JonSetanta »

Obama wins. McCain is a robot. Many rejoice. I get free coffee.


Also, I'm voting pro-slots for Maryland state. Did the research and according to previous occurrences in other states it's no where near as "bad" as naysayers blather about.
It seems the resistance is more of a dogmatic issue than rational decision, since the money from legal gambling will go to public education as "dirty money"... OOOOOOH! Jesus will have my nuts for this. :roll:
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Crissa
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Post by Crissa »

Problem with slots is more like they're like some sort of mold. If you can have slots, you will have slots. Not that they ever pay for themselves, I can't imagine it, but they pay somehow for the electricity they use... By basically being a pellet machine for rats.

I don't get it. And I'd vote against it just so there wouldn't be poker machines in my 7-11.

-Crissa
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Josh_Kablack
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Post by Josh_Kablack »

PS: don't forget to get your Free Coffee from Starbucks Hopefully enough people will take advantage of that to drive them out of business faster.
"But transportation issues are social-justice issues. The toll of bad transit policies and worse infrastructure—trains and buses that don’t run well and badly serve low-income neighborhoods, vehicular traffic that pollutes the environment and endangers the lives of cyclists and pedestrians—is borne disproportionately by black and brown communities."
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Fwib
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Post by Fwib »

I've been reading http://fivethirtyeight.com which has lots of numbers right there for the number-obsessive among us.

As of right now, there is a poll update post due very soon.
Last edited by Fwib on Tue Nov 04, 2008 5:16 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Maxus
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Post by Maxus »

Found a cool election map. It updated while I was checking it out.

http://media.theaustralian.com.au/multi ... tion08.htm

Edit: I take it back. A friend showed me this one...

http://scoreboard.dailykos.com/map/
Last edited by Maxus on Wed Nov 05, 2008 4:04 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Josh_Kablack
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Post by Josh_Kablack »

Looking like PA went to Obama by 11%.

I haven't been this happy to be wrong since I said the Stillerz weren't going to the Superbowl.

On that subject, have any other honorary Steelers ever been elected?
Last edited by Josh_Kablack on Sat Nov 08, 2008 2:04 am, edited 1 time in total.
"But transportation issues are social-justice issues. The toll of bad transit policies and worse infrastructure—trains and buses that don’t run well and badly serve low-income neighborhoods, vehicular traffic that pollutes the environment and endangers the lives of cyclists and pedestrians—is borne disproportionately by black and brown communities."
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Absentminded_Wizard
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Post by Absentminded_Wizard »

The last Ohio poll from the University of Cincinnati had Obama up by 7 here. I'm not sure what the final numbers are, since it'll be a while before they finish tallying all the backup paper ballots. Apparently, the margin's pretty good, since the major news outlets were calling Ohio for Obama 1-1/2 hours after the polls closed.

Thus ends the greatest mystery of this campaign season. Polling in Ohio had been really scattershot (we're talking Obama up by 6 one day, McCain up by 6 the next). I was totally in suspense about which way this state would go right up until they called it.

Bottom line: Joe the Plumber has no pull in his home state. It'll be interesting (and possibly funny) to see what becomes of his proposed 2010 congressional run.
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