your falling into a common fallacy, your assuming that just because someone does something for a living he is making perfect decisions. they may not be saying that 4e is not a real contender, that DOES NOT MATTER BECAUSE THEY ARE NOT PERFECT AND THEY PROVIDED NO USEFUL DATA FOR US TO USE. why do you think I would care what some stranger thinks? I do not. I care about facts and logic nothing less will make me change my mind.MGuy wrote:You are right. There is no way I can possibly know each and every game of 4E going on right now. Thing is though, I don't need to know the exact number. Here's what I do know. 4E is dead as far as the company who made it goes. 4E isn't even talked about by the company when they make comparisons on how well they are selling 5E. 4E isn't even talked about as a contender in articles talking about 5E's current success. 4E was so unsuccessful in making fans that PF, a bunch of house rules based on 3E, was able to become the number one rpg. Like seriously the rivalry is between 3E and pals vs 5E. 4E isn't even a consideration. 4E is dead, defeated, it turns out that all the fanboy denial made no difference.CaptPike wrote:no idea, neither you or I have any way of getting useful information on this, at least from the 4e side.MGuy wrote:OK, lets look at Data that exists that is comparable. 4E and PF came out at about the same time. Which are people still playing?
there IS NO WAY of knowing how many people play 4e now, none. the closest would be DDI or something like maptools. but there is no way to translating that into something we can use.
good luck finding out how many people playing 4e one DDI account equals, or how common an online game of 4e is compared to sit down ones. and that is if you can find a way to get that kind of data out of a site like maptools.
even if they are true it is quite possible that the number of 4e players is large, but is not a reasonable target for new RPG books. after all if you love 4e for what it does that pathfinder and 5e fall so short then you would never consider buying them. it would be like trading a modern fighter jet for a biplane, it does the same basic thing but worse in every way.
and of couse you are "forgetting" that 4e was only passed by pathfinder AFTER they stopped making books for it, sure pathfinder won, but only after 4e stopped trying and started making essentials. wooooo that was such a victory.
why would you think this matter to anyone? it is not useful it is a waste of spacemomothefiddler wrote:I don't often go to game stores because they're pretty far away but last week I did and I took note of the comparative shelf space.Orca wrote:to the amount of 4e vs. PF on the shelves at your local game store.
Dark Heresy (not even all the WH40k shit) had roughly equal shelf space with D&D total. More than half of D&D's space was 3.5, the rest was 5e, and there was no 4e whatsoever. PF had more space than any of the previously mentioned games.
It was pretty sad.
(To be fair, 5e also had a few box sets up above the shelf, but I feel I'm not alone in arguing that those don't really count for anything but display and even if they get counted in full it brings 5e up to about even with PF.)
Edit: yes, I know this is anecdotal. It was just something that struck me and was relevant to Orca's comment.
it means sales numbers are close to worthless in anything but extreme cases, saying that 3e sold twice as much as 4e means nothing whatsoever becuase 4e could have made it up with online stuff.FrankTrollman wrote:So what? Paizo also has subscription sales. Paizo subscriptions cost more than DDI does. Going all Phoenix Wright and shouting "Objection!" just because 4e has some unknown amount of revenue from subscriptions doesn't indicate that 4e is or was beating Pathfailure. Pathfailure also has subscription sales, and neither company publicizes those numbers.souran wrote:CaptPike is correct that any view of 4E sales that doesn't include sales of monthly subscription is vastly underestimating 4Es sales.
-Username17
the problem was they poisoned the waters, if they had stuck with setting books, power books, and stuff like that they could have gone on for a long time but they starting publishing essentials, which was not useful to their target audience, and which only got worse in quality as time went on.name_here wrote:Honestly, I seriously doubt that 4e was a commercial success or they wouldn't have let there be a gap. There was a period where they decided they'd rather have no DnD products than more 4e products. That doesn't necessarily mean it lost money, though. For businesses, a product is a failure if it makes less money than a safe alternative option like sticking the cost into a savings account for a similar time period, and Hasbro has a fairly large number of properties stable enough to count on a consistent return from.
past a certain point they HAD to make a new edition because the people who played 4e did not want the new stuff they were making.